Tiene un decente giro ciclónico en niveles bajos.
Pico de 85kts en el primer parte
Que lo pario, eh. esa zona de LA-AL fueron un punto caliente durante todo el año y ahora se van a comer, potencialmente, otro monstruo.
Ups, no puse la discusión. Aquí va.
Potential Tropical Cyclone Twenty-Six Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020
500 PM EDT Sun Oct 04 2020
Visible satellite imagery and earlier scatterometer data indicated
that the circulation associated with the area of low pressure in the
central Caribbean Sea has gradually become better defined. The
associated deep convection does not yet have enough organization to
classify the system as a tropical depression, but there has been
some increase in convection just south of the estimated center. The
earlier ASCAT data revealed peak winds of around 30 kt over the
northeastern portion of the circulation, and that is the basis for
the initial intensity. The disturbance is located over warm waters
and in a moist environment, but there is some modest northeasterly
shear over the system. The global models indicate that the shear
will decrease overnight, and the oceanic and atmospheric environment
is expected to quite favorable for both the development of a
tropical cyclone and subsequent strengthening of the system over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days. The
intensity guidance is quite aggressive, but also assumes that the
system already has a tropical cyclone structure. Therefore, the NHC
intensity forecast is a little below the intensity consensus during
the first 24-48 hours, but does show the system at or near hurricane
strength by the time is near western Cuba on Tuesday. Environmental
conditions are expected to remain favorable for strengthening over
the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, and additional strengthening is
predicted during that time. Late in the period, conditions are
forecast to become less conducive as the vertical wind shear
increases and the system nears the cooler shelf waters of the
northern Gulf of Mexico.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 04/2100Z 16.7N 76.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 05/0600Z 17.1N 77.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24H 05/1800Z 18.0N 79.1W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 06/0600Z 19.0N 80.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 06/1800Z 21.0N 82.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 07/0600Z 23.1N 85.4W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 07/1800Z 24.7N 87.9W 80 KT 90 MPH
96H 08/1800Z 26.5N 90.3W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 09/1800Z 28.6N 90.3W 85 KT 100 MPH