Vigilancia de disturbios tropicales en el Atlántico Norte

[Wyoming]

No sé si es tan imposible eh jajaja.
Hasta hace nada (el año pasado) se decía que una temporada como la del 2005 es un evento que era muy poco probable que se repita. Yo lo compraría con los 400mm de Comodoro, pero no se hasta qué punto.

[Santiago Linari]

No sé si es tan imposible eh jajaja.
Hasta hace nada (el año pasado) se decía que una temporada como la del 2005 es un evento que era muy poco probable que se repita. Yo lo compraría con los 400mm de Comodoro, pero no se hasta qué punto.

En un mundo en calentamiento supondría que cada vez fuera más probable (o menos improbable) tener años hiperactivos como este.

[Wyoming]

Prensa del NHC:
Tenemos:
- 30/13/6 como estadísticas finales, no puedo creer que tenga que escribir esto
- Louisiana casi 20 días (no aclaran si fueron consecutivos, aunque asumo que no) con avisos por sistemas tropicales
- 3 ciclones se formaron el mismo día en un corto periodo de 6h
- 10 sistemas sufrieron una intensificación rápida

Yesterday was the “official” end of the 2020 hurricane season, although tropical storms and hurricanes can develop outside the June 1 to November 30 period.

This season is the most active season ever recorded with a total of 30 tropical storms (pervious record was 28 in 2005), 13 hurricanes (2005 continues to hold the record with 15) and 6 major hurricanes. This is only the second time the Greek alphabet has been used (previous was 2005).

The US coastline…especially the US Gulf coast experienced a record number of US landfall…12 surpassing the previous record of 9 from 1916. These landfalls included (Bertha, Cristobal, Hanna, Fay, Isaias, Laura, Marco, Sally, Beta, Delta, Zeta, Eta (2 FL landfalls))

The US Gulf coast experienced 9 of the 12 landfalls including 5 hurricanes (Hanna, Laura, Sally, Delta, Zeta). The states of TX and LA suffered 7 of the 9 landfalls with only Sally and Eta making landfall east of the Mississippi River. The state of Louisiana experienced the landfall of 5 tropical systems: 2 tropical storms (Cristobal and Marco) and 3 hurricanes (Laura, Delta, Zeta). Laura and Delta made landfall only 12 miles apart roughly 6 weeks apart in southwest Louisiana just east of Cameron. Portions of the state of LA spent a total of 3 weeks within the NHC error cone this hurricane season. The state of LA was under coastal watches or warnings due to a tropical cyclone for a total of 474 hours or 19.75 days.


Laura was the strongest hurricane to make landfall in the state of LA since 1856.

On September 14, 2020…5 tropical cyclones were ongoing at the same time in the Atlantic basin (Sally, Paulette, Rene, Teddy, and Vicky). This ties September 1971 for the most number of tropical cyclones at the same time in the basin.

On September 18, 2020…3 tropical cyclones formed within in 6-hr window (Wilfred, Alpha, and Beta). This is only the second time in recorded history that 3 tropical cyclones have formed in such a short time period…the other time was in 1893.

10 tropical storms formed in the month of September the most for any month on record

A total of 10 systems experienced rapid intensification (35mph increase in wind speed in 24hrs) in 2020 (Hanna, Laura, Sally, Teddy, Gamma, Delta, Epsilon, Zeta, Eta, and Iota).

Hurricanes Delta, Iota, and Eta experienced winds speed increases over 100mph in 36 hours or less.

Of the 6 major hurricanes in 2020…4 were in October and November and Greek alphabet names (Delta, Epsilon, Eta, and Iota).

Hurricanes Eta and Iota both made landfall only 15 miles apart along the Nicaragua coast both as category 4 hurricanes.

Hurricane Iota (160mph) became the latest category 5 hurricane on record in the Atlantic basin and the second strongest November hurricane on record only behind the 1932 Cuba hurricane (175mph)

NOAA hurricane hunters flew a total of 86 missions for 678 flight hours and 102 eyewall passages. A total of 1772 dropsondes were deployed.

Estimated damages for the 2020 hurricane season are 37 billion in the US…compared to 307 billion (2017…Harvey and Irma) and 238 billion (2005…Katrina, Rita, Wilma). For the most part storms impacting the US coast in 2020 missed large metro areas when compared to 2017 and 2005.

[maatii96]

Los números finales seguramente sufran algunos cambios después de que terminen de escribir todos los TCR. Con la cantidad que tienen para hacer se van a divertir de lo lindo.

[Wyoming]

El 7 de diciembre se publicó el análisis final de Nana. No lo leí todavía, lo haré mañana.
Les dejo el link: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL162020_Nana.pdf
Están haciendo tateti con las tormentas para hacer los reportes?

[Wyoming]

Buenas tardes.
¿Abrimos topic? El próximo nombre que le toca es ELSA (let it go). Bill, Claudette y Danny ya se formaron pero su vida fue tan efímera que no valía la pena abrir un topic para c/u.

Sin embargo, 97L tiene todo el potencial de convertirse en, al menos, un huracán mínimo.
Si la upgradean a TT/nombran, romperá varios records.

554
ABNT20 KNHC 301735
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jun 30 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad low pressure area
and tropical wave located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands have become better organized since yesterday.
However, recent satellite wind data indicates that the disturbance
does not have a well-defined circulation. Environmental conditions
appear generally favorable for continued development, and a tropical
depression or storm is likely to form during the next day or two
while the system moves west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph.
Interests in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the progress
of this system, as advisories on a potential tropical cyclone,
accompanied by tropical storm watches for portions of this area, are
likely to be issued later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

[stormchaserAlberto]

Gonzalo sería una amenaza para las Azores por lo que tengo entendido

[stormchaserAlberto]

Habría que hacer un topic para la 98L. Tiene mucho potencial.

[stormchaserAlberto]

Se forma la tormenta tropical Ian. Va a estar interesante para seguirlo.

[Santiago Linari]